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It's the 13th April with ZERO rainfall. The table below shows the breakdown for highs, low maximums and high minimums. This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. Weather in Phoenix in December 2022 (Arizona) - Detailed Weather Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. This has also occurred in August 1963 & February 1905. The 1981-2010 climate normal period was used from the late 2011 to early 2021. If you click here, this is exactly what my model showed, which is telling me further that we remain on track to keep getting the long range right. The wather in Arizona in February can vary between cold and nice weather days. Managing Editor Sandi Duncan says for our region, in the North Central . The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is almost two degrees below normal and ranks as the 59th warmest February on record. Even though our winter is forecast to be on the mild side, it won't be without a few cold spells. Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from early Sept. through early Oct. 2022. 2022-2023 Quail Reports - Arizona Quail Hunting Camp This is the 7th June on record in which the monthly low temperature did not fall below 65. The Spring seasonal forecast for the area, issued February 17th, called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures & a 42% chance of below normal precipitation. The forecast for precipitation is a 45% chance that they will be above normal and a 22% chance that they will end up below normal. The state's smoky skies were caused by a wildfire in Arizona, but the National Weather service said Monday's smoke and heat will be gone Tuesday. Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. Questions? La Nia is expected to be the main driver for the third winter in a row. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 111 on June 16th to a low of 66 on June 5th. These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. . Much of the nation's midsection, including the Mississippi Valley, northern Gulf Coast, Florida and the West Coast, should be near or slightly warmer than average in December. A couple of weak weather systems moved across the area on the 28th through 30th bringing the area another shot of valley rain and mountain snow. The silver lining is that when warmer weather finally does arrive, we'll be even more grateful for it. The weather in Arizona in January is good. CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE AND SIGN-UP CLICK HERE TO GO, The following articles were talked about in this write-up, November 5, 2021 Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. The exception is the summer thunderstorm season where the forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. It is certainly a possibility with the threat of another La Nia on the horizon. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Arizona expects wet, active monsoon season in 2022 - The Arizona Republic November climate data across southeast Arizona. NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast | OpenSnow 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Aspiring Emergency Managers Online - Company Page on LinkedIn: Arizona The February outlook for the area, issued by the Climate Prediction Center on January 31st, called for a 47% chance that temperatures would be above normal & 20% chance that temperatures would be below normal. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 103 on the 6th to a low of 65 on the 17th. While this isn't always the case every time La Nia is present, it is representative of the average impacts. This is the second consecutive October to be below normal. Flagstaff, AZ Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration How Winter Fashion Has Changed in 100 Years (PHOTOS), Eerie Vintage Photos of People Battling the Flu, Democratic Republic of the Congo | Franais, State of Vatican City (Holy See) | Italiano. Get Downloadable Images and More Here. This is the highest wind gust, tied with August 11, 1995, to be recorded at the airport in the past 50 years. Flagstaff, AZ Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather Today WinterCast Hourly Daily Radar MinuteCast Monthly Air Quality Health & Activities Winter Storm Warning Snow and Ice Outlook 12 - 18. Please try another search. Phoenix, AZ Monthly Weather Forecast - weather.com - The Weather Channel Two-thirds of climatological Fall is in the books and 2022 ranks as the 15th warmest & 56th driest on record with one month left to go. Click Here To Join The Season Tier, Join The Main Arizona Weather Force Facebook Group (50 percent delivery time) You can join the main AZWF page as well through that group. In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. Desert biome, Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument. March 2023; April 2023; May 2023; June 2023; July 2023; August 2023 . Fall was dry with above normal rainfall returning to the area during December. Equal chances use the map provided below. Please Contact Us. Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area CPC forecasts, thanks to weakening La Nia conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, probabilities leaning for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for most the remainder of the year. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded just over a half an inch /0.53"/. Enter any city, zip or place. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 is based on . If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. For the first Summer since 2010 & the sixth time since 1980, there were no record highs set or tied at the airport. Backed by the 5th warmest June and 7th warmest July and the warmest Summer average low temperature on record (tied with 2020), Summer 2022 goes into the record books asthe 3rd warmest Summer on record, tied with the Summers of 2013, 2015 & 2019. Extended Winter Weather Forecast for 2022-2023 Goes to the 'Extreme' The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain which is well below normal and ranks as the 16th driest November on record. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. One temperature record was set during the month when the high of 85 on the 19th set a daily cool high record, besting the old record of 86 from 1966. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. A record warm low temperature was set on the 22nd with a low of 66 breaking the record of 64 from 2016. Winter is a great time to hike the Grand Canyon (just be careful of ice), and its also a fun time to go camping in the milder central and southern parts of the state. Winter in Arizona is always a mixed bag. The average temperature in Arizona in January is. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly aren't in the clear either. Get the latest articles, videos, and news about Washington State on Flipboard. According to the Farmers' Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year - though drier than average, too. Arizona Weather in Tucson Weather in Tucson in December 2022 Tucson Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. The deep monsoonal moisture that was over the area for most of the month started to dry out during the last week of the month under a drier upper air pattern. On your streaming device:Download 12News+ to your streaming device. The drought classification for the area stood at D2 (Severe Drought). According to the Farmers' Almanac (in publication since 1818), states in . The forecast panned out well for precipitation as it was drier than normal while February came in cooler than normal thanks to the average monthly low temperature being 4.7 below normal. United States and Canada 2022 Winter Outlook Predictions - global Could Arizona be in for another dry winter, leading to even worse drought conditions? As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 9C and 19C, warm clothes are a must. One exception was the pandemic year of 2020, when travel all but came to a. NWS If it says liked, dont hit it because thats unfollowing and you wont get updates at AZWF page on your feed. During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 4.80" is just under two & a third inches below normal and ranks as the 19th driest January through August period on record. Monsoon 2022 ended up warmer than normal with an average season temperature of 87.2 which is nine-tenths of a degree above normal. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. Colder weather is predicted to come in between Nov. 16 and 19 and settle in for good come Nov. 24 to 27. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? 3. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from a tenth of an inch to 1" with localized areas recording between 1" and 1.60". The yearly total to date currently stands as the 7th driest year with one month left in 2022. The average yearly temperature through the end of November of 72.9 ranks as the 11th warmest on record. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. We recognize our responsibility to use data and technology for good. One of the strongest thunderstorms of the month hit the airport on the evening of the 23rd with a wind gust of 76 mph. All NOAA. The Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), a well-established and innovative inter- and transdisciplinary climate research team, is looking for a Program Manager to join our team. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area as is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season. The forecast for precipitation is a 49% chance that they will be up below normal and a 18% chance that they will end up above normal. All rights reserved. 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. The arrows point to the cooler than average water in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, indicative of La Nia. When Does It End? But there's a potential curveball with La Nia this winter. A high minimum temperature of 59 on the 4th broke the old warm low for the date of 56 from 1946. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. The full-year 2022 figures for these figures came to $2.33 and $2.11 per diluted share, for y/y gains of 16%.The funds from operations figures are important because they fund UDR's dividend. Last year, the Almanac predicted many of the 2021-2022 winter storms, most notably: the early-season nor'easter in the end of October, and the unusual blizzard in the last week of April (in parts of Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas). Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high 94 on the 3rd to a low of 43 on the 25th. This ties the monthly record previously set in 2017. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. The March-April-May (MAM) 2023 temperature outlook favors below-normal. The Farmer's Almanac Winter 2022-2023 Forecast Is Here Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. Then it smashed that record. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. Subscribe to azcentral.com today. However, January should at least be somewhat colder than usual from parts of Washington state and northern Idaho to the northern Plains, much of the Midwest and interior Northeast into northern New England. For comparison through the end of March, the current climate normal period (1991-2020) average temperature is 57.4 while the previous climate normal period (1981-2010) average temperature was 56.1. Meanwhile, the Southwest and much of the Rockies are most likely to see December end up warmer than usual. Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. CLIMAS The story is much different in the Catalina and Rincon mountains where between 4" and 10" of precipitation has been recorded so far this water year. Multiple locations were found. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly less than a tenth an inch /0.10"/ with localized totals up to a third of an inch /0.33"/, especially near Vail and on the northwest side of the metro area. More snow? Here's Michigan's winter 2022-2023 outlook Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. Additionally the airport monthly total extended the streak of below normal rainfall for March to "18" straight. August 29, 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month. Support local journalism. Monthly Weather - Phoenix, AZ As of 7:03 am MST Feb View Apr Sun mon tue wed thu fri sat 26 57 37 27 63 42 28 63 48 1 62 37 2 55 41 3 60 39 4 67 44 Fri 03 | Day 60 2% SW 5 mph. In my long range forecast for the season, I predicted 7-14 of rainfall with a likelihood of 10-14. The last year in which Tucson waited until April to set/tied a record temperature was back in 2010. If you are a current member and NOT on a monthly plan, your Winter 2022 tier expires March 1st, but do not renew until the Spring 2022 tier is opened, which youll receive an email then. December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms, FACEBOOK PAGES TO JOIN! The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.19". The water year is below normal since October 1st at 6.16" which ranks as the 17th driest water year to date with one month left in the water year calendar. A Strong 2024 La Nina and a new "Cold Pacific Ocean Phase" will usher in Dangerous . Weather; Archive; Weather Widget F. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Temperature extremes ranged from 111 on June 16th to 65 on September 17th. Page, AZ Weather History | Weather Underground Los Angeles had near 9.50 of rainfall during the month alone with a normal amount of 2.48, which is unprecedented and will be the third highest amount during the month of December since records began, only behind 1989 and 2010. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd. Arizonans Beware Of Extreme Polar Temperature Swings This Winter Reach breaking news reporter Sam Burdette at sburdette@gannett.com or on Twitter @SuperSafetySam. About the author Related Posts Farmers' Almanac Staff National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely! Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on the sofa with a hot cup of coffee, watching a crime TV show or scary movie. Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. Over the next 10 days high temperatures gradually warmed through the 60's into the 70's peaking on the 27th with a monthly high temperature of 79. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. Winter Weather Forecast for 2022 - 2023 | From Direct Weather temperatures from Washington and northern . In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. With stories from American West, Western Washington State, King County (Wash.), Seattle, Pacific Northwest, Eastern Washington State, Sports, Washington State University, College Sports. Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. That is 100% free to view. There are other puzzle pieces besides La Nia to consider in the forecast, which leads us to the next question. Precipitation across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 1.75" to 4.00" with the highest totals occurring north of Tangerine Road extending east from Dove Mountain in Marana to the northern part of Oro Valley. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! June climate data across southeast Arizona, Summer climate data across southeast Arizona. The last seven days of the month was dry with below normal high and low temperatures. The average yearly temperature, through the end of May, of 64.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 10th warmest on record, tied with 2000. Amounts ranged from 4" to 9" with localized higher amounts up to 14". Climate Prediction Center - Seasonal Outlook - National Oceanic and The average monthly low temperature of 72.4 established a new monthly record, eclipsing the old record of 72.3 from 2018. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. The monthly average temperature of 54.0 is 1.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 25th warmest December on record, tied with 1995. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October.